Investment Watch Winter 2022 Outlook

Investment Watch Winter 2022 Outlook is now available.

Investment Watch Winter 2022

As inflation rates surge to multi-decade highs, central banks have started what we expect to be the most aggressive cycle of interest rate increases since the late 1980s/early 1990s. The spectre of significantly higher interest rates has sent shockwaves through global markets as investor concerns grow that efforts to rein in inflation will end in recession.

In this edition we explain why global recession is not our base case and despite the expectation for further volatility over the next six months, we think below-trend growth will be the likely outcome.

We update our asset allocation and tactical positioning maintaining a defensive tilt to portfolios. At a sector level, we prefer resources, agriculture and defensive industrials and remain vigilant for buying opportunities amidst the noise.



  • Asset allocation – Q3 2022 update
  • Economics – US slowdown, Australian boom
  • Equity strategy – Stick to the fundamentals
  • Banks – Rising cash rate and implications for earnings and dividends
  • Industrials – Playing defence
  • Listed investment trusts - A unique opportunity
  • Resources and Energy – A tough quarter
  • Agriculture – Fundamentals remain positive for now
  • Consumer discretionary – Under the pump
  • Infrastructure – Unlisted raids continue
  • Property – Open for business
  • Updated Morgans best ideas
  • … and much more

Download Investment Watch Winter 2022 Outlook

Investment Watch Winter 2022 Outlook 

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