Reporting Season Summary: 25 February 2016

About the author:

Andrew Tang
Author name:
By Andrew Tang
Job title:
Analyst - Equity Strategy
Date posted:
25 February 2016, 5:03 PM
Sectors Covered:
Equity Strategy and Quant

Blackmores (BKL)

NPAT: A$48.3 million; Dividend: 200cps

The result was above expectations.

Morgans comment

A strong result as expected - continuing investor focus on health and wellness will support share price. Risks around regulatory changes in labelling are not yet evident and further investment in capacity is needed to support demand:

Macquarie Atlas Roads (MQA)

EBITDA: A$523.7 million; Dividend: 9cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

FY15 result looks in line with our forecasts. Good growth at APRR and cashflows into MQA as expected to fund the distribution. We continue to be bullish on the distribution growth outlook.

Acrux (ACR)

NPAT: A$9.7 million; Dividend: 0cps

The result was above expectations.

Morgans comment

Market should be happy with this result - expect costs to be higher in 2H and seasonally weaker period. Stock is relatively illiquid might be one for the nimble traders only.

Seek (SEK)

NPAT: A$102.4 million; Dividend: 21cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

We see 2016 as the year of maximum re-investment pain and believe that there are good grounds to believe that double-digit EPS growth will resume from FY17 onwards.

Sandfire Resources (SFR)

NPAT: A$16 million; Dividend: 2cps

The result was below expectations.

Morgans comment

Our overall thesis is unchanged. SFR is enjoying steady cash generation from a stable production base with the falling AUD providing an important buffer against weaker copper pricing. However the market is again pricing in significant value for SFR's growth options (mainly Monty) before their viability is known. We think its prudent to wait to evaluate the Monty Resource and LOM update before paying for in on market beforehand.

Ramsay Health Care (RHC)

NPAT: A$237.4 million; Dividend: 47cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

In line with net profit estimates, but revs and operating income lines a tad below expectations; regardless, all divisions are growing robustly; comforting to see “strong admissions growth” in Oz and margin gains, showing little impact from ‘noise’ around gov reviews; outlook was upgrade by 3%.

South32 (S32)

NPAT: A$26 million; Dividend: 0cps

The result was above expectations.

Morgans comment

We like S32, with its strong balance sheet and good cash flow, and it is certainly undervalued versus our DCF. We believe it offers great value upside in a recovering market scenario... the problem is the cycle is not quite there yet.

Kina (KSL)

NPAT: PNG$47.5 million; Dividend: 3.4cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

The result was impacted by lower than prospectus net interest income due to loan growth being impacted by the Maybank integration and a slightly lower NIM than planned.  However it was offset by higher FX income and a lower bad debt charge than prospectus. Guidance is broad pointing to profitable growth into FY16 and similar NIM and cost to income ratios as FY15.

ERM Power (EPW)

NPAT: A$9.4 million; Dividend: 6cps

The result was below expectations.

Morgans comment

1H16 earnings below forecast (mostly due to start-up USA business), but DPS sustained - FY16 EBITDA guidance downgraded ~5% at the mid-point.

Select Harvest (SHV)

NPAT: A$21.1 million; Dividend: 21cps

The result was below expectations.

Morgans comment

NPAT was below expectations, however CF and dividend were well ahead; both FY16 yield and price forecast is revised; expect consensus downgrades.

Simonds Group (SIO)

NPAT: A$4.4 million; Dividend: 0cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

Top line numbers look solid across the group. Given the earnings uncertainty the 1H16 has created (and no guidance or dividend from SIO to provide some confidence) - we need to have a closer look before taking a more positive stance.

Speedcast (SDA)

NPAT: A$8.7 million; Dividend: 6.7cps

The result was in line with expectations.

Morgans comment

SDA did not provide any specific guidance but commented that they "expected to sustain double-digit service revenue and EBITDA growth as a result of revenue synergies and continued operational leverage.” FY16 will also benefit from cycling acquisitions (12 month contributions) plus a number of newly announced acquisitions.

More information

Morgans clients can access detailed reports on these companies. If you are interested in finding out more, please contact your adviser or nearest Morgans office.

Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual's relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so.

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