Reporting Season Summary: 22 August 2014

About the author:

Fiona Buchanan
Author name:
By Fiona Buchanan
Job title:
Co-Head of Research, Senior Analyst
Date posted:
22 August 2014, 1:49 PM
Sectors Covered:
Property, AREITS

DUET Group (DUE)

Results

EBITDA: A$616m; Dividend: 17cps

The result was in-line with expectations.

Morgans comment

FY14 proportionate EBITDA of A$616m was up flat on the pcp and in line with CIMB estimates (CIMBF A$619m). Excluding customer contributions, EBITDA was up 1.1% highlighting the flat earnings profile of the overall business. With a flat earnings profile we see pressure on distribution growth. While yielding 7.1% it is trading at 12.9x FY15 EBITDA and looks pretty fully valued in our view. DUE is currently trading with a takeover premium and well ahead of our fundamental valuation and we don’t see anything in today’s announcement that is likely to change that. Hold recommendation.

Iluka Resources (ILU)

Results

EBITDA: A$108 million; Dividend: 6cps

The result beat expectations.

Morgans comment

Underlying earnings of A$12m (CIMB, loss A$32m). EBITDA A$108m (CIMB, A$53m). Free cashflow A$69m (CIMB – A$66m) Company previously guided A$64m. Div was A$0.06. Below CIMB A$0.10 estimate. Outlook commentary typically vague but does suggest there’s been little in the positive move in prices. Add recommendation.

Mermaid Marine (MMR)

Results

NPAT: A$58.3 million; Dividend: 12.5cps

The result was in-line with expectations.

Morgans comment

Today's result should be taken reasonably positively given low expectations, with the introduction of Jaya becoming evident with the fall in supply base earnings. While outlook commentary is vague, there should be significant work and ongoing demand for MRM's services to support FY15. Hold recommendation.

QUBE Holdings (QUB)

Results

NPAT: A$88.6 million; Dividend: 5.1cps

The result was in-line with expectations.

Morgans comment

Overall, the underlying result was marginally ahead of CIMB's expectations with Underlying EBIT (inc assoc) of A$155m 2% ahead of forecast (A$153m), while underlying NPAT of A$88.6m was 2% ahead as well (CIMB A$87m). Full year dividend of 5.1c was marginally ahead of 5.0c forecast. Hold recommendation.

Sims Metal Management (SGM)

Results

NPAT: A$68.8 million; Dividend: 10cps

The result missed expectations.

Morgans comment

Sales $7129m vs CIMB $7456m and cons $7470m. Underlying EBITDA $242.4m vs CIMB $268m and cons $252m. Underlying EBIT $118.5m vs CIMB $147m and cons $137m. Underlying NPAT $68.8m vs CIMB $90m and cons $86m. Expect the stock will weaken after a recent strong run and a poor result overall but may be helped somewhat by believers in the 5yr strategy who think this is a good time to get in. Hard to see anything that will have us change our current negative view based on cyclical factors. Reduce recommendation.

Beacon Lighting (BLX)

Results

NPAT: A$11.79 million; Dividend: 1.4cps

The result beat expectations.

Morgans comment

A great result from BLX. However, the group's multiple demanded a profit beat and will still be at elevated levels post upgrades (c18x FY15). Great business in its prime in these housing conditions, but also making sure it remains relevant with consumers with constant innovation. A great long term retail holding. Hold recommendation.

BigAir Group (BGL)

Results

NPAT: A$5.3 million; Dividend: 1.1cps

The result missed expectations.

Morgans comment

At face value it appears integration of the acquisitions has been more complex and costly than we expected. We understand that BGL was also undertaking system upgrades in 2H14 to create a single, unified administrative platform. Typically these system costs are capitalised (not expensed) and then amortised over 5+ years. We will discuss with management but it appears BGL has expensed theses items. If this is the case, then the cost are possible on-off in nature and sell-off is overdone. If this is not the case then BGL recurring cost base is higher than expected and we will need to reduce our forecasts by ~10%-15% in FY15. Add recommendation.

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Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual's relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so.

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